Tveir kuldapollar og harhryggur milli

N og nstu daga blasa tveir strir kuldapollar vi norurhvelskortum. Annar yfir Atlantshafi en hinn yfir Norurshafi. milli eirra er harhryggur sem vi njtum gs af. Korti a nean snir etta vel. a gildir kl. 12 sunnudaginn (9. jn). Korti er fr evrpureiknimistinni.

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Jafnharlnur 500 hPa-flatarins eru heildregnar, v ttari sem r eru v hvassari er vindurinn. Hann bls nokkurn veginn samsa lnunum. Litafletir sna ykktina. v meiri sem hn er v hlrra er lofti neri hluta verahvolfs. Mrkin milli grnu og gulu litanna er vi 5460 metra og milli blrra og grnna vi 5280 metra. sland er rtt nean vi mija mynd.

Kuldapollurinn stri suvestur hafi er flugur, hann geymir enn blan blett. ar er loft mjg stugt. Takist hlju lofti a brjtast inn pollinn myndast djp lg. Allt undir 970 hPa telst til tinda.Til a ba til svoleiisarf rmlega 5500 metra ykkt a n inn miju hringrsarinnar. Spr undanfarna daga hafa ekki veri sammla um hvort a gerist og ekki heldur hvort ea hvenr pollurinn frist alveg austur til Bretlandseyja. lklegt er a vi sleppum alveg vi rkomusvi, skil ea lgir tengd essu stra kerfi.

En sunnudaginn m sj a sland er nmunda vi harhrygg sem raua strikalnan markar og vi erum smuleiis mrkum grnna og gulra lita. Svo virist sem gulu litirnir ski heldur . Mnudagsveri fer san eftir v hvort rur, lgarbeygja kuldapollsins ea harbeygja hryggjarins. Verur a vonbrigadagur ea nr hitinn vestanlands sr verulega strik einn til tvo daga? Ngrenni Esjunnar getur veri bsna gft hita til ess a gera lgri ykkt rttri ger af austantt og blikuhnoraskotnu lofti. Smuleiis Borgarfjrur austrningi.

Hr mega flestir htta a lesa v afgangurinn er tyrfinn.

Kuldapollurinn yfir Norurshafinu er flugur. H 500 hPa-flatarins er rtt rmir 5 km (= 5000 metrar). Ef hann ni inn sig hlju lofti me ykktina 5320 metra yri r v sambandi 960 hPa lg. Hr vri ekki veri a minnast etta nema fyrir sk a annig spm hefur brugi fyrir stangli reiknilknunum undanfarna daga. kortinu m sj a ykktin mijunni er n tplega 5160 metrar. S s ykkt og hin miju bornar saman fst t a lgarmijan er bilinu 980 til 985 hPa vi sjvarml.

Spr sna ekkert lt norurskautspollinum nstu viku til tu daga en hann sktur afkvmum msar ttir - vonandi fum vi ekkert af eim hausinn. Sj m eitt afkvmanna vi norausturhorn Grnlands - heldur illilegt tt lti s. Evrpureiknimistin segir a fara til Norur-Noregs - tilbreyting fr hitunum upp skasti. Ekkert er vst um a v amerska spin fer mildari hndum um normenn.

En vi vonum a vi njtum hryggarins sem lengst - jafnvel tt vi lendum suurjari hans og inni rkomunni suurundan. Allt frekar en enn einn skammt af kalsa.


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Athugasemdir

1 identicon

etta tlar a vera svalt, vtusamt og slarlti sumar.

Skyldi etta vera svona "The Year without a summer" eins og var ri 1816?

Reyndar hfu komi mrg str eldgos r runum fyrir 1816, en ekkert slkt hefur tt sr sta undanfarin r.

Skyldi v vera a klna heiminum?

Bjrn J. (IP-tala skr) 8.6.2013 kl. 01:47

2 identicon

"Skyldi v vera a klna heiminum?" spyr Bjrn J. kolefnisklerkinn Trausta Jnsson sem vill "allt frekar en enn einn skammt af kalsa" :)

1. Don Easterbrook, Professor Emeritus, Dept. of Geology, Western Washington University:

> "Expect global cooling for the next 2-3 decades that will be far more damaging than global warming would have been."

2. Syun Akasofu, Professor of Geophysics, Emeritus, University of Alaska, also founding director of ARC:

> He shows cooling for the next cycle until about 2030/ 2040.

3. Prof. Mojib Latif, Professor, Kiel University, Germany:

> He makes a prediction for one decade only, namely the next decade [2009-2019] and he basically shows the global average temperatures will decline to a range of about 14.18 C to 14.28 C from 14.39 C.

4. Dr. Noel Keenlyside from the Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences at Kiel University. The BBC writes:

> "The Earth's temperature may stay roughly the same for a decade, as natural climate cycles enter a cooling phase, scientists have predicted."

5. Professor Anastasios Tsonis, Head of Atmospheric Sciences Group University of Wisconsin, and Dr. Kyle Swanson of the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee:

> "We have such a change now and can therefore expect 20 -30 years of cooler temperatures"

6. William M Gray, Professor Emeritus, Dept of Atmospheric Sciences, Colorado State University:

> "A weak global cooling began from the mid-1940's and lasted until mid-1970's. I predict this is what we will see in the next few decades."

7. Henrik Svensmark , Professor DTU, Copenhagen. Henrik Svensmark writes:

> "Indeed, global warming stopped and a cooling is beginning. No climate model has predicted a cooling of the Earth, on the contrary. This means that projections of future climate is unpredictable."

8. Jarl R. Ahlbeck, D.Sc., AboAkademi University, Finland:

> "Therefore, prolonged low solar activity periods in the future may cause the domination of a strongly negative AO and extremely cold winters in North America, Europe and Russia."

9. Dr. Alexander Frolov, Head of Russia's state meteorological service Rosgidromet.The Daily Mail.co.uk quotes Frolov:

> "From the scientific point of view, in terms of large scale climate cycles, we are in a period of cooling."

10. Mike Lockwood, Professor of Space Environmental Physics, University of Reading, UK.:

> "The UK and continental Europe could be gripped by more frequent cold winters in the future as a result of low solar activity, say researchers."

11. Dr. Oleg Pokrovsky, Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory: Ria Novosti writes:

> "There isn't going to be an ice age, but temperatures will drop to levels last seen in the 1950s and 1960s."

12. Girma Orssengo, b.Tech, MASc, PhD:

> "The model in Figure 3 predicts global cooling until 2030. This result is also supported by shifts in PDO that occurred at the end of the last century, which is expected to result in global cooling until about 2030 [7]."

13. Nicola Scafetta, PhD.:

> "The partial forecast indicates that climate may stabilize or cool until 2030-2040."

14. Dr William Livingston, astronomer & solar physicist; and 15. Dr Matthew Penn - astronomer & solar physicist:

> "Astronomers Dr. William Livingston and Dr. Matthew Penn and a large number of solar physicists would say that now the likelihood of the Earth being seized by Maunder Minimum is now greater than the Earth being seized by a period of global warming."

16. Joe d'Aleo - Executive Director of Certified Consultant Meteorologists:

> "Longer term the sun is behaving like it did in the last 1700s and early 1800s, leading many to believe we are likely to experience conditions more like the early 1800s (called the Dalton Minimum) in the next few decades."

17. Harry van Loon, Emeritus at NCAR and CORA, 18. Roland Madden, Senior scientist at NOAA, Deputy Head of Climate analysis, 19. Dave Melita, Head Meteorologist at Melita Weather Associates, and 20. William M Gray, Professor Emeritus, Dept of Atmospheric Sciences, Colorado State University:

> "The global warming trend is done, and a cooling trend is about to kick in."

21. Dr. David Archibald, Australia, environmental scientist:

> "In this presentation, I will demonstrate that the Sun drives climate, and use that demonstrated relationship to predict the Earth's climate to 2030. It is a prediction that differs from most in the public domain. It is a prediction of imminent cooling."

22. Dr Habibullo Abdussamatov, Head of Space Research, Lab of Pulkov Observatory:

> According to him, a new ice age could start by 2014.

23. Dr Fred Goldberg, Swedish climate expert:

> We could have an ice age any time, says Swedish climate expert.

24. Dr. George Kukla, a member of the Czechoslovakian Academy of Sciences and a pioneer in the field of astronomical forcing:

> "The world is about to enter another Ice Age."

25. Peter Clark, Professor of Geosciences at OSU:

> "Sometime around now, scientists say, the Earth should be changing from a long interglacial period that has lasted the past 10,000 years and shifting back towards conditions that will ultimately lead to another ice age."

26. James Overland, NOAA:

> "Cold and snowy winters will be the rule rather than the exception."

27. Dr. Theodore Landscheidt. Predicted in 2003 that the current cooling would continue until 2030:

> "Analysis of the sun's varying activity in the last two millennia indicates that contrary to the IPCC's speculation about man-made global warming as high as 5.8C within the next hundred years, a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected."

28. Matt Vooro, P. Eng.:

> "We seem to be in the same climate cycle that we were back in 1964-1976."

29. Thomas Globig, Meteorologist, Meteo Media weather service:

> "It is quite possible that we are at the beginning of a Little Ice Age."

30. Piers Corbyn, Astrophysicist:

> Corbyn suggested we should sooner prepare for another Ice Age than worry about global warming. Corbyn believed global warming "is complete nonsense, it's fiction, it comes from a cult ideology. There's no science in there, no facts to back [it] up."

31. Dr. Karsten Brandt, Director of donnerwetter.de weather service:

> "It is even very probable that we will not only experience a very cold winter, but also in the coming 10 years every second winter will be too cold. Only 2 of 10 will be mild."

(http://www.sott.net/article/260773-Ice-Age-Cometh-Global-Cooling-Consensus-Is-Heating-Up-Cooling-Over-The-Next-1-To-3-Decades)

Hilmar Hafsteinsson (IP-tala skr) 8.6.2013 kl. 13:23

3 Smmynd: Sigurur r Gujnsson

dag er 8. jn. Sumari rtt a byrja. Og a hefur svo sannarlega ekki veri svalt sustu daga slarliti hafi veri sunnanlands.

Sigurur r Gujnsson, 8.6.2013 kl. 19:27

4 identicon

Sl. fimmtudag benti g nja rannskn sem Qing-Bin Lu, prfessor elisfri og stjrnufri, lffri og efnafri vi Hsklann Waterloo, veitti forstu. Niurstaa rannsknarinnar er, stuttu mli, a a er efnasambandi CFC (vetnisflorkolefni) sem orsakar meinta "ofsahlnun" en ekki CO2.

kvld birti svo mbl.is frtt um a "Kna og Bandarkin hafa komist a samkomulagi um a draga r framleislu vetnisflorkolefnum sem eru notu sskpa og loftklingu, en me essu vilja jirnar leggja sn l vogarsklar barttunnar gegn loftlagshlnun."!

Ennfremur segir frttinni a "Rkin hafa sammlst um a starfa sameiginlega a v gegnum aljleg samtk a draga r framleislu og notkun vetnisflorkolefnum, sem hafa veri kllu ofurgrurhsalofttegundir vegna mengunarinnar sem au valda."(sic)

(http://www.mbl.is/frettir/erlent/2013/06/08/sammala_um_adgerdir_i_loftlagsmalum/)

Hva var um skelfilega "spilliefni" CO2?

Hilmar Hafsteinsson (IP-tala skr) 8.6.2013 kl. 23:55

5 Smmynd: Trausti Jnsson

Bjrn. t erunokkur raskipti hita - meira a segja heimsvsu. ratugasveiflur hr landi eru meira a segja tvfaldar a str mia vi almenna heildarhnatthlnun - og refaldar Grnlandi. Eitthva meirihttar er r lagi gengi ef hlnun sr sta hikstalaust - lka heimsvsu tt ar su ratugasveiflurnar minni heldur en heildarhlnunin hnattrna. Hilmar. Rannskn Qing-Bin Lu er ekki alveg n, heimasu hans sjlfs er niurstaan dagsett 2010. Ekki veit g hvers vegna etta komst frttir n. Menn hafa haft af v hyggjur lengi a knverjar (og runarlnd) hafa seti meirihttar undangu fr framleislu halonefna - gott er ef tekst a komast fyrir ann leka. Aalhyggjur manna gagnvart eim efnum felast hrifum eirra sonveltu heihvolfinu. g get teki undir a me r a a s ekki g hugmynd a kalla halonefni og koltvsring mengunarefni - en um a eru ekki allir sammla frekar en spmannsins skegg. rtugalistinn inn er skemmtilegur - g hef auvita ekki tkka honum llum (og geri a ekki) en sumt veit g a dregi er illa r samhengi (me rum orum tursnningur) og hefur ekkert me umrur um hrif koltvsrings geislunarjafnvgi - og ar me grurhsahrif a gera. Anna veit g a rtt er eftir mnnum haft og a tengist umrumu um hnattrna hlnun af vldum aukinna grurhsahrifa.

Trausti Jnsson, 9.6.2013 kl. 01:49

6 identicon

akkir fyrir svrin Trausti ;)

"Rannskn Qing-Bin Lu er ekki alveg n, heimasu hans sjlfs er niurstaan dagsett 2010. Ekki veit g hvers vegna etta komst frttir n."(!)

Skyldi a n vera vegna ess a essi hugavera rannskn var birt nna malok 2013 International Journal of Modern Physics B? En a vissir n vntanlega Trausti - og eins ekktu stareynd a a hefur veri rautinni yngra fyrir vsindamenn a f birtingu rannsknum sem stangast vi alheimstrbo kolefniskirkjunnar :)

Hilmar Hafsteinsson (IP-tala skr) 9.6.2013 kl. 09:14

7 Smmynd: Trausti Jnsson

Hilmar. Eitthva getur veri til v - en g ekki ekki rautagngu Lu.

Trausti Jnsson, 10.6.2013 kl. 00:51

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